Potassium Conspiracy of Lukashenko

Jeżeli masz możliwość, to prosimy ewentualnie o przekazanie 1,5% podatku na naszą działalność Białoruską

Pavel Latushka, Deputy Head of the United Transitional Cabinet of Belarus, Representative of the Cabinet for the Transition of Power, Head of the National Anti-Crisis Management, Leader of the "Latushka Team and the Movement 'For Freedom'" faction within the 3rd convocation of the Coordination Council.

On which dictatorial regimes Lukashenko collaborates with around the world

While Lukashenko talks about "stability," and his propagandists praise him as a "people’s leader", in reality, a grim world map is being created where the threads of shadowy deals stretch from Minsk to Tehran, Pyongyang, Caracas, and even the jungles of Myanmar. At the center of this web is Lukashenko, who has turned Belarus into a transit hub for dictators and terrorists.

While Belarusian potash fertilizers are being loaded at the ports of Makhachkala for Iran or sent by train to China via Russia, Lukashenko's regime is not just trying to adapt to sanctions but is actively helping the Kremlin and its allies sow chaos across the world. From dump trucks for North Korea and trucks for Zimbabwe to weapons for Myanmar’s junta and missiles in Cuba — Lukashenko is not just playing on the same team with Russia, he has become part of the global "axis of evil".

Despite new logistics routes and open support from the Kremlin, Belarusian Potash Company (Belaruskali) is facing mounting problems. Last year, the production and delivery costs for Russia's "Uralkali" increased by 30%. This was mainly due to rising logistics costs. It can be confidently stated that the costs due to similar factors are significantly increasing for Belaruskali as well.

However, instead of making concessions and changing its policy to achieve a suspension of sanctions, Lukashenko's regime has entered into a cartel conspiracy with Russia. On November 4, 2024, Lukashenko proposed to coordinate with Russia to reduce potash production by 10%, complaining about too low prices, which were causing Belaruskali to sell potash below its production costs.

As a result, in January 2025, it became known that Belaruskali plans to cut its potash production by about 1 million tons in the first half of 2025. Annually, the reduction may reach 2 million tons, almost a fifth of Belarus’s total potash production. In February 2025, Uralkali also announced that production in the second quarter would be reduced by at least 300 thousand tons, and exports would be cut by 400 thousand tons.

In the potash industry, Lukashenko is not competing with Russia but is acting alongside it, just as he does in the military sphere. And the easing of sanctions on potash would benefit both Lukashenko and his Kremlin friends, who are helping him in every possible way.

It is important to remember that Lukashenko's regime is part of the global "axis of evil" — a network of other dictatorial and terrorist regimes that threaten international security, spread discord, repression, wars, and conflicts around the world. And he does this with the proceeds from the same potash and other natural resources of Belarus, which should belong to the people, not to the organized criminal group headed by Lukashenko.

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